Boys - Girls
New Haven Semi-State
2009 - 2010 - 2011



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  James Martin 12 Carroll (FW) 15:31 #4  
2  Brad Hess 12 Carroll (FW) 15:35 #6  
3  Keigan Culler 11 Fremont 15:52 #19  
4  Kodi Mullins 12 Homestead 16:03 #25  
5  A.J. Walker 12 Mishawaka 16:04 #26  
6  Joey Zielinski 11 St. Joseph's 16:08 #31  
7  Miguel Lozano 11 Mishawaka 16:16 #52  
8  Tyler Wynn 12 Goshen 16:19 #54  
9  Blake Jones 11 Snider 16:19 #56  
10  Brian Menzie 12 Whitko 16:23 #61  
11  Matt Perkins 12 Prairie Heights 16:25 #66  
12  Jacob Reinking 10 Concordia Lutheran 16:26 #67  
13  Devin Duffy 12 Penn 16:26 #68  
14  Steven Dennig 12 Clay 16:29 #77  
15  Mitch Dutton 11 Snider 16:30 #78  
16  Connor Method 11 St. Joseph's 16:30 #79  
17  Phil Schroeder 12 Bishop Dwenger 16:32 #84  
18  Luke Miller 10 Bishop Dwenger 16:33 #90  
19  Josh O'Brien 11 St. Joseph's 16:34 #93  
20  Billy McManus 12 Bishop Luers 16:34 #94  
21  Charlie Melton 12 Fort Wayne North Side 16:34 #97  
22  Andrew Eckrich 11 Bishop Dwenger 16:34 #98  
23  Josh Neideck 9 Eastbrook 16:35 #101  
24  Max Silcox 10 Homestead 16:37 #106  
25  Alex Cushman 12 Norwell 16:37 #107  
26  Daniel Zelaya 12 Concord 16:39 #115  
27  Jordan Scroggs 12 Warsaw 16:39 #117  
28  Bisrat Desta 12 Snider 16:40 #121  
29  Ethan Evans 12 Muncie Southside 16:40 #122  
30  Jose Ibanez 12 West Noble 16:40 #124  
31  Trapper Mize 11 Whitko 16:41 #126  
32  Lucas Mendel 11 Lapel 16:41 #127  
33  Jake Crosley 12 Huntington North 16:42 #128  
34  Jordan Smeltzer 12 Fairfield 16:42 #129  
35  Trevor Moore 12 Northridge 16:44 #133  
36  Luke Sullivan 12 Clay 16:44 #134  
RankNameRegionalRatingState Rank
1  St. Joseph's Elkhart Central 273 #11  
2  Carroll (FW) West Noble 290 #14  
3  Mishawaka Elkhart Central 294 #15  
4  Bishop Dwenger West Noble 297 #16  
5  Snider West Noble 316 #20  
6  Homestead Marion 357 #22  
7  West Noble West Noble 391 #26  
8  Northridge Elkhart Central 403 #29  
9  Warsaw Elkhart Central 447 #34  
10  Whitko Marion 464 #36  
11  Huntington North Marion 476 #40  
12  Penn Elkhart Central 518 #44  
13  DeKalb West Noble 549 #47  
14  Pendleton Heights Delta 550 #48  
15  Goshen Elkhart Central 559 #49  

Other unranked teams:
South Adams Marion 589
Concordia Lutheran West Noble 671
Eastbrook Marion 751
Southwood Marion 816



Semi-State Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
St. Joseph's 100.0% 2.4 105 28 256 39.6 23.0 15.4 10.0 5.9 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Bishop Dwenger 100.0% 3.0 115 29 278 28.3 22.3 16.8 12.2 8.9 5.7 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Mishawaka 100.0% 3.5 125 39 275 13.3 20.7 21.4 18.6 12.5 7.4 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Snider 100.0% 3.8 132 38 295 12.8 17.6 17.7 17.1 13.8 9.7 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Carroll (FW) 100.0% 4.7 145 59 255 3.0 8.9 14.6 19.3 21.8 16.8 9.7 4.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Homestead 100.0% 6.2 171 60 325 1.2 3.4 6.4 9.9 14.3 19.6 18.8 13.7 7.0 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1
West Noble 100.0% 7.1 187 60 339 1.2 2.3 4.3 6.2 9.4 14.3 18.7 17.4 11.6 6.9 4.4 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1
Northridge 99.2% 7.5 194 69 342 0.5 1.5 2.9 4.9 8.7 12.7 17.5 18.3 13.7 9.1 4.8 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
Warsaw 95.9% 9.3 227 101 361 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.7 4.7 8.6 14.4 18.8 17.1 13.7 8.1 4.3 1.3 0.4
Whitko 100.0% 10.3 245 107 390 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.5 5.2 9.8 16.5 19.6 17.9 13.5 8.4 4.2 1.4 0.0
Huntington North 100.0% 10.5 249 95 402 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.8 9.1 14.9 17.4 16.5 14.8 10.3 6.0 2.2 0.1
Penn 72.6% 11.4 267 128 407 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 6.2 10.9 15.3 15.6 12.1 6.0 2.1 0.0
Goshen 32.2% 12.1 283 155 378 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.0 5.4 7.7 7.3 4.8 2.0 0.0
DeKalb 81.7% 12.9 300 130 440 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.6 7.6 12.4 18.3 19.5 14.4 0.8
Pendleton Heights 100.0% 13.1 307 148 441 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.9 5.2 8.4 13.9 20.0 23.6 22.0 2.3
South Adams 99.9% 13.9 328 191 444 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.9 7.7 15.2 27.6 39.1 3.8
Concordia Lutheran 18.4% 14.4 345 262 430 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 5.6 9.1 1.1
Southwood 25.9% 15.9 396 324 455 0.0 0.2 2.3 23.3
Eastbrook 74.3% 15.9 405 289 464 0.0 0.1 0.6 5.0 68.6


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
James Martin Carroll (FW) 15:31 100.0% 1.0 65.4 28.5 4.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Brad Hess Carroll (FW) 15:35 100.0% 1.4 26.5 57.9 11.8 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Keigan Culler Fremont 15:52 100.0% 2.8 6.4 8.6 45.1 19.5 9.5 4.9 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kodi Mullins Homestead 16:03 100.0% 4.5 0.8 2.0 14.3 23.2 18.1 12.1 9.0 5.9 3.8 3.2 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
A.J. Walker Mishawaka 16:04 100.0% 4.8 0.5 1.7 11.0 20.9 19.7 14.8 9.6 6.3 4.2 2.8 2.2 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2
Joey Zielinski St. Joseph's 16:08 100.0% 5.7 0.4 0.8 8.0 14.8 16.0 14.1 11.6 8.7 6.0 4.7 3.1 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.4
Miguel Lozano Mishawaka 16:16 100.0% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.1 8.4 11.1 11.7 10.2 8.6 7.5 6.0 5.1 4.0 3.8 3.0 2.5 2.2 1.4 1.5 1.4
Tyler Wynn Goshen 16:19 99.6% 9.7 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.8 6.0 8.6 8.0 8.6 8.5 7.1 6.2 5.1 4.8 4.0 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.3 2.2 1.7
Blake Jones Snider 16:19 100.0% 10.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 5.7 7.6 8.1 8.6 8.4 7.1 7.1 5.9 5.0 4.1 3.6 3.5 2.6 2.2 2.2 2.0
Brian Menzie Whitko 16:23 100.0% 12.6 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.2 4.5 6.0 6.2 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.0 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.0 3.1 2.8
Matt Perkins Prairie Heights 16:25 94.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.0 3.3 4.8 5.3 6.0 5.6 5.7 5.9 5.0 4.6 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.4 3.1 2.8
Jacob Reinking Concordia Lutheran 16:26 93.7% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.3 5.0 5.2 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.0 4.0 4.3 3.9 3.3 3.3 2.9
Devin Duffy Penn 16:26 98.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 3.2 4.3 4.7 5.2 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.0 4.5 4.6 4.3 3.5 3.7 3.3 3.2
Steven Dennig Clay 16:29 96.7% 17.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.2 4.5 4.3 4.5 4.1 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.4
Mitch Dutton Snider 16:30 100.0% 18.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.4 4.3 4.4 4.0 4.4 4.5 4.0 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0 3.5
Connor Method St. Joseph's 16:30 100.0% 18.5 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.2 3.0 3.5 3.7 4.3 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.5 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.6
Phil Schroeder Bishop Dwenger 16:32 100.0% 19.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.6 4.3 3.8 4.0 4.1 3.7 4.0 3.4
Luke Miller Bishop Dwenger 16:33 100.0% 21.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.2 2.9 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.5 3.7
Josh O'Brien St. Joseph's 16:34 100.0% 22.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.5
Billy McManus Bishop Luers 16:34 78.9% 20.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.5 2.9 3.2
Charlie Melton Fort Wayne North Side 16:34 79.4% 20.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.4 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.0
Andrew Eckrich Bishop Dwenger 16:34 100.0% 23.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.3 3.5 3.4
Josh Neideck Eastbrook 16:35 100.0% 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.1
Max Silcox Homestead 16:37 100.0% 26.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.2
Alex Cushman Norwell 16:37 99.9% 25.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.1
Daniel Zelaya Concord 16:39 82.2% 26.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.9 2.6 2.4 2.2
Jordan Scroggs Warsaw 16:39 97.3% 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.8
Bisrat Desta Snider 16:40 100.0% 29.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.6
Ethan Evans Muncie Southside 16:40 100.0% 29.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.5
Jose Ibanez West Noble 16:40 100.0% 30.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.7 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.5
Trapper Mize Whitko 16:41 100.0% 30.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4
Lucas Mendel Lapel 16:41 100.0% 30.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.5
Jake Crosley Huntington North 16:42 100.0% 32.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2
Jordan Smeltzer Fairfield 16:42 73.3% 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1
Trevor Moore Northridge 16:44 99.3% 34.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.7
Luke Sullivan Clay 16:44 66.2% 30.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.7